Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 72503.659408 76648.061705 80796.718291 85258.169393 89917.218925 94635.968724 99773.361051
2025-03-30 66027.706009 72381.578868 78925.139291 86158.016800 93918.994385 101986.802432 110997.813480
2025-04-06 60928.762275 68754.548643 76997.472366 86307.046218 96508.648324 107327.376896 119647.519875
2025-04-13 56844.212673 65737.508205 75284.155899 86261.636441 98501.954968 111696.825847 126961.600320
2025-04-20 54327.709139 64170.227315 74909.291377 87448.416105 101637.107906 117143.765864 135320.292718
2025-04-27 52204.570626 62849.946123 74636.162163 88587.234020 104580.667032 122272.369400 143250.171244
2025-05-04 50031.931353 61315.572583 73979.465008 89159.737386 106771.745545 126470.157950 150072.780317
2025-05-11 47797.579166 59575.584673 72965.517025 89207.785817 108264.033537 129797.933933 155850.867784
2025-05-18 45900.824335 58128.024172 72197.343601 89453.687621 109910.997484 133248.440175 161735.750406
2025-05-25 44107.941421 56714.085825 71387.442737 89574.828851 111348.457406 136410.159934 167258.296305
2025-06-01 42996.084411 56063.030492 71434.090785 90669.770641 113904.400846 140864.303960 174298.960288
2025-06-08 41313.321682 54640.123834 70485.437708 90507.320504 114908.939012 143452.364802 179116.785143
2025-06-15 40464.163053 54229.098048 70758.461475 91831.998777 117727.403775 148242.838561 186632.563029
2025-06-22 39428.291055 53542.467003 70659.340756 92675.846941 119950.496293 152325.702725 193328.745171
2025-06-29 38116.416321 52454.958463 70017.641367 92808.874020 121273.109508 155305.619064 198694.875068
2025-07-06 36798.313403 51309.966884 69259.169378 92755.093564 122332.231958 157944.646499 203641.122224
2025-07-13 36163.227340 51020.430136 69558.067111 94012.405283 125012.381068 162570.320567 211037.009131
2025-07-20 35545.468397 50726.622315 69829.870454 95219.647366 127623.883174 167118.413595 218362.167095
2025-07-27 34700.530589 50101.461506 69648.942117 95826.562469 129464.899093 170710.517498 224518.928381
2025-08-03 33662.344391 49183.800934 69057.701707 95877.487873 130579.252512 173386.951628 229540.020398
2025-08-10 32763.871771 48424.364698 68646.499784 96138.179941 131944.728513 176371.103153 234952.295090
2025-08-17 31855.001045 47621.577399 68151.945764 96266.605433 133123.073901 179112.030559 240064.167376
2025-08-24 31400.569893 47425.473546 68449.287195 97427.306645 135635.613140 183551.689391 247345.682014